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How long before the "Rapture" nutters start chanting incantations, and televangelists start praying for a miss, then claiming it was their prayers that averted a tragedy looming ten years hence.
For the rest of us still around in 2029, this will be a good excuse to buy a pair of decent, high magnification binoculars and an optical stabiliser, as Apophis whizzes by earth, only 19,000 miles away.

[theregister.co.uk]

Petter 9 May 5
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1

If I just had a dollar for every time the world was going to end.

You and I both. We'd be so rich we wouldn't care anyway!

0

Apophis has been a concern of mine for awhile. I trust the calculation and agree with them. I don't think the meteor will hit Earth.

BUT...

I think there is a probability which has not been considered.

The picture in the article is the bottom side of Apophis. On it's top rear is something a little scary.

At this location there is a large sphere. It looks like a perfect sphere except, the sphere began to melt at one time. This made the sphere produce frozen spikes. This thawing and refreezing action occured before the spiked sphere attached to Apophis.

Here is the problem. Condensed ice cracks when it thaws quickly. That's bad news.

When Apophis nears our planet it will encounter an increase in heat. It will also encounter increased partcle density. Mind you the particals are very small, but there mass multiplied by the , (I am guessing the travel speed up of Apophis is around 30k kph), squared.

This sphere looks well bonded to Apophis by... Wait for it... Ice.

The meteor which injured a few hundred a few years back was about the size of small compact car. This sphere on Apophis is about, I am guessing, close to the size of a football ball field+/-.

Things which fall off of Apophis will still likely stay with Apophis. This I suspect, and I suspect it is what others may believe as well. But, I don't think this will be the case of the sphere. This because, the sphere will be spinning on it's own center of gravity.

It is covered with spikes. Molecular impacts will pull it downwards as it rolls forward. Some of it's orbital energy will be negated by increasing axil rotation.

I think there is an off chance, of low probability, the scientist and spectators of the eventon are going to witness an event which may kill a few hundred to a few thousand people.

1

I said earlier, I’ll be sitting outside, staring at the sky, when it passes by or whatever. LOL It’ll be an event for sure!

1

Apophis has been a concern of mine for awhile. I trust the calculation and agree with them. I don't think the meteor will hit Earth.

BUT...

I think there is a probability which has not been considered.

The picture in the article is the bottom side of Apophis. On it's top rear is something a little scary.

At this location there is a large sphere. It looks like a perfect sphere except, the sphere began to melt at one time. This made the sphere produce frozen spikes. This thawing and refreezing action occured before the spiked sphere attached to Apophis.

Here is the problem. Condensed ice cracks when it thaws quickly. That's bad news.

When Apophis nears our planet it will encounter an increase in heat. It will also encounter increased partcle density. Mind you the particals are very small, but there mass multiplied by the , (I am guessing the travel speed up of Apophis is around 30k kph), squared.

This sphere looks well bonded to Apophis by... Wait for it... Ice.

The meteor which injured a few hundred a few years back was about the size of small compact car. This sphere on Apophis is about, I am guessing, close to the size of a football ball field+/-.

Things which fall off of Apophis will still likely stay with Apophis. This I suspect, and I suspect it is what others may believe as well. But, I don't think this will be the case of the sphere. This because, the sphere will be spinning on it's own center of gravity.

It is covered with spikes. Molecular impacts will pull it downwards as it rolls forward. Some of it's orbital energy will be negated by increasing axil rotation.

I think there is a very good chance. All of the scientist on 2029 are going to witness an event which may kill a few thousand people.

That is always a possibility. However, if it is all ice, and the ice is beginning to melt, then there is the strong possibility (assuming it actually collides with our atmosphere or, worse, hits an ocean) of world wide rainfall floods and/or a massive tidal wave.
All good grist for the sensational tabloids and even Watchtower.

@Petter Yeah, I don't think it would be too big of a deal. A loud boom above a large population is the worst case. The damage would be extensive, but not catastrophic from the perspective of the whole population. I agree with you though, the dooms day nut jobs are on the way. My ex is one of them. I am kinda anticipating her questioning me about it. She did this with the 2000 New Year end of the world thing and with the 2012 Myan calendar. I hate answering her because regardless of my answer she will stick to the dooms day scenario.

1

I expect I will be around in 2029, hopefully retired then. However, tomorrow is not guaranteed.

You'll have to check it out for me, I reckon. Ten years is probably well past my "use by" date.

@Petter Good luck man. Hope ya make it.

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