Agnostic.com

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So when does the U.S. overtake Italy in deaths due to COVID-19? While still with a substantial lead Italys deaths (14,000 +) are only doubling about every 9 days, while the U.S. (7000 +) is doubling every 3 days.

I'm going with 5 since i expect the U.S. doubling rate to go from 3 days to 2 within a day or two, and Italy's to go from single digits into double in 3 or 4 days. Your optimism may vary.