Hi -
Has anyone else looked into credible analysis of how many annual deaths are attributable to the climate emergency?
I see this recent information, that seems to be in a peer-reviewed publication. However, I can't find (outside the pay wall) if it states actual numbers, only percentages are in the summary paragraph I see.
[nature.com]
Article
Published: 31 May 2021The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change
A. M. Vicedo-Cabrera, N. Scovronick, F. Sera, D. Royé, R. Schneider, A. Tobias, C. Astrom, Y. Guo, Y. Honda, D. M. Hondula, R. Abrutzky, S. Tong, M. de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, P. H. Nascimento Saldiva, E. Lavigne, P. Matus Correa, N. Valdes Ortega, H. Kan, S. Osorio, J. Kyselý, A. Urban, H. Orru, E. Indermitte, J. J. K. Jaakkola, …A. Gasparrini
Nature Climate Change volume 11, pages 492–500 (2021)Cite this article
19k Accesses 184 Citations 6180 Altmetric Metrics
Climate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991–2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0% (range 20.5–76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change.
Also, there is this older through 2004 data, it seems:
[who.int]
Climate change attributable deathsIndicator name: Mortality and burden of disease attributable to climate change
Short name: MBD CC
Data type: Rate
Indicator Id: 2391
Topic: Mortality and burden of disease
Risk factors
Rationale:
As part of a broader project to assess major risk factors to health, the burden of disease resulting from climate change was assessed. Measuring the health effects from climate change can only be very approximate. Nevertheless, a assessment coordinated by WHO, taking into account only a subset of the possible health impacts, concluded that the modest climate change that has occurred since the 1970s was already causing over 140 000 excess deaths annually by the year 2004.
[edit to add this one]
I question whether this figure of 5 million people per year is all attributable to climate change, but it seems worth adding this study to the list of relevant ones.
[monash.edu]
World’s largest study of global climate related mortality links 5 million deaths a year to abnormal temperatures
08 July 2021
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