The planets resources are being outstripped by overpopulation - business section of the Seattle Times . [seattletimes.com]
Why am I concerned? A recent issue of the Humanist magazine highlighted 5 activist Black women. One woman, Bridgett Crutchfield said ”Being empathetic, giving a damn hurts.” I do give a damn and, yes, it hurts.
Overpopulation, a heavy subject. Again and finally this issue is coming more to the forefront. We need to pay attention! ”…Thomas Malthus, a cleric and scholar in political economy. Malthus argued that more people meant trouble: too many mouths to feed. It was a hopeless trap of outstripping resources.” As a long time board member of ZPG (Zero Population Growth) and one who puts reality ahead of ideology this is an issue that cannot be clearer. It drives all our issues today (religion exacerbates population growth) and will portend us being added to the thousands of other species going extinct. It is not popular and I will be criticized but am used to it. Recently a large book came out which highlights the issue. It is available, in its entirety online at: [issuu.com]
Look at it at your peril but at least see the start “A Parable” titled “Lord Man’.
In case the link doesn’t work here is the article:Jon Talton
Special to The Seattle Times
Have you played the fortune-cookie game? Add “in bed” to the end of your fortune.
As in, “Beware the fury of a patient man” (in bed). Or “You will discover your hidden talents” (in bed).
The same could apply, without humor, to a condition that affects everything from changes in Seattle to unrest in the Middle East. Add the words, “With a world population of 7.5 billion.” That’s the current estimate of how many of us there are here on Earth.
For example, in a recent headline from The New York Times: “Developing Countries May Need Their Own Strategies to Cope With Job-Taking Robots” (with a world population of 7.5 billion). Or plastics — we wouldn’t have hundreds of tons to dispose of, many going into the oceans, without so many people.
It’s remarkably useful in understanding the roots of many problems.
Our planet held around 1 billion people in 1800, 1.6 billion in 1900 and 2.6 billion in 1950.
The population explosion works on smaller scales, too.
My home state of Arizona had a population of a mere 750,000 in 1950. Today it’s 7 million. Phoenix is the nation’s fifth largest city. One is reminded of naturalist and writer Edward Abbey’s quote, “There is no lack of water here unless you try to establish a city where no city should be.”
And, of course, one of Seattle’s biggest challenges is having added population at a Sun Belt clip over the past decade (with a world population of 7.5 billion).
Thinkers of 18th century England saw rising population as a source of value and strength. This optimism was upended by Thomas Robert Malthus, a cleric and scholar in political economy. Malthus argued that more people meant trouble: Too many mouths to feed. It was a hopeless trap of outstripping resources.
In “The Worldly Philosophers”, author Robert Heilbroner wrote in his classic work, “Young Malthus pulled the carpet from the complacent thinkers of the times, and what he offered them in place of progress was a prospect meager, dreary and chilling.”
Economics as “the dismal science” was coined by Thomas Carlyle after he read Malthus.
Over the past 200 years Malthus — especially the comic-strip version — has become something of a punchline in economics.
The world kept growing and so did resources. In the 20th century, the Green Revolution’s use of new technologies, pesticides and crop varieties saved the developing world from recurring famine. Age-old diseases were knocked back by medical breakthroughs.
With accomplishments such as these, anyone worrying about limits could be dismissed, and ridiculed, as a Malthusian.
One prime example was the Club of Rome’s 1972 “Limits of Growth” report, based on computer simulations of continued growth. Its conclusions were dire and proved wrong — at least in the short run.
Now Malthus’ larger concern isn’t so easily dismissed (with a world population of 7.5 billion). The United Nations predicts the planet will reach 11.2 billion in 2100.
Those billions burning fossil fuels are giving us the existential danger of climate change.
In addition, limits are being reached in arable land, which is being lost because of pollution and erosion while food demand rises.
This year, Cape Town became the first major city to nearly run out of water. But the crisis of declining water supplies is worldwide, as underscored by a new NASA study.
These calamities are causing mass migrations and conflicts. They’re outstripping the ability of techno-magic to keep up.
China, the world’s second-largest economy, is so concerned about feeding its 1.4 billion people that it’s embarked on a buying spree of overseas suppliers and farmland. Unfortunately, that pressures other countries.
The tensions also work against the trust and stability needed for healthy markets to work. Instead, the market forces could mete out rough justice.
Has Malthus’ moment finally arrived?
In a way, it never left. As Heilbroner wrote, “For Malthus, the issue was the immensely important one of How Much Is There?”
Up until now, despite the booms and busts (that Malthus predicted) and barring a Stalin or Mao, the answer has usually been, “enough.”
Yet in the future, that’s not at all assured. At least not for much of the world’s rising population, and that promises greater instability.
In business, more people are real or potential customers. For localities, such growth can mean more taxpayers, more people buying houses. The entire Sunbelt capitalism model is built on that expectation.
But rising population also brings costs. These can range from bidding up housing in a limited land area to growth not “paying for itself” because developers seek favorable government treatment. One example is low, or no, impact fees for sprawl development. This leaves little funding for adequate infrastructure.
And these are merely First World problems. They’re trivial compared to the life-and-death risks facing many regions from overshooting their carrying capacity in food and water.
Anyone thinking we can rely on techno-magic alone didn’t read the 1992 World Scientists’ Warning to Humanity.
Signed by 1,700 leading scientists, it began: “Human beings and the natural world are on a collision course. Human activities inflict harsh and often irreversible damage on the environment and on critical resources. If not checked, many of our current practices put at serious risk the future …”
A second warning was issued last year.
At the least, we need continued focus on weaning ourselves off fossil fuels, reducing pollution and protecting farmlands and oceans. Incentives, such as carbon taxes, would encourage investments in sustainable transportation and manufacturing. Gender equality is synonymous with lower birthrates.
According to the U.N., population growth has declined in most parts of the world in recent years. But about 83 million people are being added to the planet every year.
It’s always possible that the brightsiders will be right, that we can continue the wash-rinse-repeat of modern society and spread it to every nation, without making fundamental changes.
But don’t bet on it (with a world population of 7.5 billion).
I hear of "doom and Gloom" all the time. This often leads to "smile and denial" which is also counterproductive. One needs information and often the more serious the more it will motivate one to act. My late partner and I worked on this and came up with a reasoned approach to the 2 emotions (D & G or S & D). We called it "Know and Grow".
What kinds of actions? First off one has to be willing to take personal action regardless of what others do. I became a vegetarian, limited my offspring (1), ride my bike (and crash) and walk more, changed my lifestyle and constantly look for more things I can do. It is an ongoing process for me but I pay attention to dire consequences. It is a source of motivation.
It’s a race between medicine’s ingenuity and that of the bacterial and viroid ecosystem. Medicine winning that race so far has been one of the key causes of the population boom.
@Denker Correct, it's not just the people being born but those of us who are living longer.
Sorry, meds are kicking in so can't focus enough to read all of your post. I have been speaking against over-population most of my adult life. I have one child and she intends to have none. I personally favour negative population growth. Never heard of the ZPG group before.
NPG was another, albeit , smaller group loosely associated with Zero Population Growth. It was a big national org. I was on a very active local board for 8 years.
In the late 1960s ZPG became a prominent political movement in the U.S. and parts of Europe, with strong links to environmentalism and feminism. Yale University was a stronghold of the ZPG activists who believed “that a constantly increasing population is responsible for many of our problems: pollution, violence, loss of values and of individual privacy.”[10] Founding fathers of the movement were Paul Ehrlich, author of The Population Bomb, Richard Bowers, a Connecticut lawyer, and Professor Charles Lee Remington.[11] Ehrlich stated: “The mother of the year should be a sterilized woman with two adopted children. [en.wikipedia.org]
Posted by kmazfrom a french artist, fabrien barrau
Posted by KilltheskyfairyPlease spend 3 minutes reading this note from William Shatner, the actor from Star Trek: “Last year, I had a life-changing experience at 90 years old.
Posted by KilltheskyfairyDon’t blame me! I voted for Gore! (and Kerry, and Clinton, etc.)
Posted by KilltheskyfairyDon’t blame me! I voted for Gore! (and Kerry, and Clinton, etc.)
Posted by AnonySchmooseAchieving Climate Change Mitigation in the Forest Sector | Frontiers Research Topic
Posted by AnonySchmooseVisualizing the Quantities of Climate Change – Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet
Posted by LetzGetReal In “Mermaid” BENJAMIN VON WONG created a scene using 10,000 donated USED plastic bottles then photographed it from overhead.
Posted by AnonySchmooseThe Search for Planet-Friendly Protein | Yes! Magazine
Posted by AnonySchmooseThe Search for Planet-Friendly Protein | Yes! Magazine
Posted by AnonySchmooseWill protecting 30 percent of Earth prevent the extinction crisis? | Science News
Posted by LetzGetRealHi ALL, Been away, lots to do in my real life community, plus family issues in the states were pressing.
Posted by Heidi68Truth from a boy and his tiger
Posted by Heidi68They knew at the beginning of the last century. Just think if we had listened & work toward change starting back then
Posted by JoeBUnexpectedly large herd of Elephants sighted in Borno State, .
Posted by MsAlIts been raining all winter here in Michigan and Im finding it hard to avoid politics by talking about the weather.
Posted by djs64Happy and sad.