Kristoff's analysis with best and worst cases - very well done and good clarification. [nytimes.com]
Either way if we don't learn and start taking seriously not only the true causes of these serious environmental issues (it is an issue of our life support system) we will head down this road again. As far as a rebounding economy goes I see that as a negative. It means we still place money ahead of life. Many businesses have been seriously wounded, as they should be. Even if this one issue is solved there are still many, many other serious issues and they will only get worse unless we start to prioritize.
I love the more positive scenario, but my critical thinking leads me to a more grim picture.
Young people have or are partying on the beaches of Daytona in the thousands. And, far too many people don't understand how easily this is transmitted. How many people are washing the jars that come back from the grocery store?