Now that we are all getting used to the idea that the quarantines may last months, hopefully we are equipped to handle the actual figures which are now emerging. This is nonetheless a very scary and for many of us, worse, scenario than we imagined a few days ago.
[corriere.it]
Here's an interesting prediction site from the University of Washington (all their data is available) that predicts new Covid-19 cases for all 50 states, deaths, hospital beds and ventilators required (and shortages) for every day from today to August 4. They have the peak US deaths being April 15, at 2271 for that day and last US death being about July 15. And 82,141 US deaths total. Each state has a different peak date, varying by as much as 6-weeks. One state has already peaked, but will have a 2nd identical peak. So, if this is true, just hide in your closet for 3 1/2 months and you'll be OK. I honestly don't know what to think about this. SO many unknown variables! I'm not an easy mark... I think it will be far, far, worse, but I have no data... just dozens of graphs still headed straight for the sky and lots of foolish humans seemingly ready to accept the virus into their bodies. Your thoughts? I'm not trolling for points... I don't do that. I want to hear some educated analysis here. I'm already socially-distant on a rural hilltop in the mountains of WV without a known case within 75-miles.
I pointed out something similar on FB, around a week ago, to the delight of the social media experts, because they could disagree with me.
My entry basically stated -
Overall world statistics show that of known Corona virus cases, 85% will not require hospitalisation. That means 15% will require hospital treatment. 10% will recover, but the remaining 5% will become critical. Of these, over a third will die.
That means that the fatality rate among KNOWN Covid-19 cases of at least 2%.
This is often the case. Even after 1918 it is assumed some 50 million died (out of a global population of 1.5 billion) but some have put the estimate as high as 100 million. It's impossible to separate all the deaths and illnesses from those from a specific malady.
If this is not a wake up call I do not know what is. NOt to god or religion, we all KNOW that is gonna happen but I mean for our priorities moving forward and who we put our trust in.
Instead of being scared think about how it has played out in America. MY favorite go to common sense thinkers are the late night pundits. Pointing out the absurd helps me deal, I don't know about others. We will get thru this.
One of the things I did years ago to help me cope is to see how others are really suffering. Compared to many others in the world I and many of us here really have it good.
@JackPedigo Others only dream about what we have but true to form many elected officials think it needs to go because too many might just get equal treatment, or more than they deserve but hey, big corporate and the wealthy are deserving.
Common sense and a cool head will get us through this, and making sure that we keep in touch and encourage each other, especially those less emotionally equipped to cope. “This too will pass, as all things do”, is my message to all.
@Druvius Of course I meant that...and our own common sense too, let’s not forget that essential commodity! America is not the world, and this pandemic is something affecting all of us.