The present war could be seen as analogous to a previous one in Chechnya. [npr.org] One huge difference is that the ‘civilized’ world will no longer accept these kinds of violent takeovers. The world has more serious threats to deal with (climate change) than to waste time on petty thugs (we have our own and those here know who he is). A previous NPR report showed many are finally waking up to the destructive effects of authoritarians.
It had crossed my mind that Putin’s war might serve to horrify Americans against Authoritarianism. Infrastructure is finally going to get going and we can fast track clean energy for more local investments. If people can’t vote for Dems, after all that, then fuck ‘em.
I was looking at Stalin's invasion of Finland in 1939 (the Winter War) too.
Authoritarians consistently seem to be surprised that people will fight to defend their countries.
And they seem to also seem to consistently underestimate the resources that they need for the takeovers they intend.
Maybe authoritarians are similar to normal people in that respect -- they have trouble learning from the past.
Because they feel so invincible, they fail to see what they would do were their country invaded.