For those of us who do not trust the pollsters and look for other indicators. I for one track online betting forums as a reliable way to test the political temperature. Not being a citizen of the land of the free allows me to speculate with hard cash upon the results of the US election. But more significantly, I can track how the political wind is blowing or at least where the smart money thinks it is.
2019 - 2020 Was very informative. In December 2019 Trump was an odds-on favorite at 8/13. Then COVID hit and we saw what happened next. His odds reflected his ineptitude and the incumbent favourite drifted to 9/2 by August, only recovering to 9/4 by the election.
This time around it looks like a repeat performance. February had Biden odds at 12/5 at my local bookie (I bet £20) but now they are neck and neck with Trump only a very slight favourite.
One can only assume that his chances will continue to lengthen with ongoing legal battles and a lack of campaign finances.