Agnostic.com

6 3

The reason the US and the entire industrialized world will collapse financially in the not too distant future can be seen in a few graphs. Economists use a simple plot to express the law of diminishing returns, which increase in the initial phases, plateaus, and finally declines. In the US, such a curve can been seen in the Earned Income to GDP ratio that peaked in 1950 (right side figure). While individual income in real terms stalled, women entering the work force in large numbers kept family incomes rising through the 1970s.

Oil production from conventional land-based wells in the lower 48 states peaked in 1970. Access to this inexpensive oil with its enormous economic leverage began to wane. The reduction in economic buoyancy as more expensive sources of oil were found led to an exponential growth in the amount of debt (both public and private). The left graph shows the total debt is now three times larger than GDP and climbing.

Similar debt-to-GDP levels are found in most industrialized countries. Most of this debt can never be repaid and we are now required to borrow new money to cover older debt. This is a Ponzi scheme by definition and Ponzi schemes never end well.

TheAstroChuck 8 Mar 4
Share

Enjoy being online again!

Welcome to the community of good people who base their values on evidence and appreciate civil discourse - the social network you will enjoy.

Create your free account

6 comments

Feel free to reply to any comment by clicking the "Reply" button.

0

And did you also hear the 2nd coming of jesus is just around the corner? 🙂

I remember reading the book in the 80's about the coming great depression of 1990... it didn't come until 2007ish.... so maybe you are right maybe you aren't but you were at least smart to not predict the timing like Ravi Batra or even jesus himself (supposedly if you believe xtian holy book) that the 2nd coming and heaven on earth would happen within the lifetime of those who was speaking to

[en.wikipedia.org]

@TheAstroChuck It always has been and it always will be. - you are describing infinite time - wow there may be hope for you yet.

0

That may be good news. As the inherently corrupt, money focused, capitalistic economic system crashes and burns, perhaps a people focused economic system will rise to fill the vacuum.

your handle is certainly appropriate.

0

I keep saying "we are on the road to Venezuela" But no one hears it. It can not go on!!!!

0

I don’t know that that is so much the effect of diminishing returns as it is the fact that wage growth for all but the top 10% of earners has not kept pace (and has actually declined) with the growth in GDP when adjusted for inflation.

@TheAstroChuck wealth inequality is not a secondary issue. It is one of the reasons our economy has problems of sustainability.

1

Well, that's some cheery news.

1

Let's hope they are wrong as they have been in the past.

Write Comment
You can include a link to this post in your posts and comments by including the text q:303401
Agnostic does not evaluate or guarantee the accuracy of any content. Read full disclaimer.