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Not too crazy about this Space X launch likely splashing down into the ocean off the coast of Kauai this week. The expected path for its crash into the ocean is kinda close to home. The diagram reminds me of the "cone of uncertainty" issued for hurricanes.

Hoping the predicted splash down location is accurate and not off by 62 miles or I'm in trouble. At least I'll be asleep if it falls down onto my house. 😉 It's likely gonna shock any whales in migration and other sea life rocked by the wake. Sure seems like they are downplaying the effect this splash down, which sounds a bit explosive.

"SpaceX Founder Elon Musk has said he believes there’s a 50-50 chance of this orbital test flight of Starship to succeed." Yikes!

The map being shown to the public doesn't even seem to match the documents filed with the FCC.

"According to documents filed with the Federal Communications Commission, the flight will launch from Starbase, Texas, and achieve orbit before conducting a “soft ocean landing” about 62 miles off the northwest coast of Kaua‘i."

[weatherboy.com]

Julie808 8 Apr 18
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UPDATE: Apparently SpaceX did take off successfully, but exploded 3 minutes up, before it even reached orbit. Not sure where all the debris landed, presumably what didn't disintegrate crashed down into the ocean. With Musk only giving it a 50/50 chance that it would reach orbit, you can see why many of us on Kauai were skeptical it would land exactly as predicted either. Well, back to the drawing board, I guess!

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So it is not a recyclable rocket? Normally he lands them. Aside from that, your chances of being hit by a meteorite are probably higher.

It's my understanding that it's partly re-usable but that lots of debris will remain in the ocean and what doesn't sink directly, they will puncture to sink, so debris doesn't float off where it could be a hazard to boats. I'm not really worried it's actually going to hit my home, that was more of a joke, but the unknown degree of confidence in the accuracy of the splash down prediction is disturbing.

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Elon has put everyone in danger by playing like North Korea’s rocket launches over Japan.
Plus astronomers hate him for orbiting Starlink satellites.

So many satellites in the night sky moving around nowadays, kinda cool, but also takes away from the feeling of being "one with the stars" when just trying to enjoy the stillness of the vast unknown in quiet contemplation.

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Will this be a controlled splashdown or uncontrolled? Will people be able to see it while it happens?

Sounds controlled, but the degree of accuracy in the prediction splashdown area is a bit unnerving. It's supposed to splash down 62 miles off the coast of Kaua'i, at around 5am, so don't think it would be visible to me. My guess is that if there is some way to monitor the splash down on video, it will be made public.

@Julie808 Since it's a Musk enterprise I would think he would go for all the publicity he could get (but of course only if it's successful).

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Best of luck. Kaua‘i is paradise so you'll likely be okay.

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