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LINK Nearly 15M deaths associated with COVID-19, World Health Organization says

LONDON —

The World Health Organization is estimating that nearly 15 million people were killed either by the coronavirus or by its impact on overwhelmed health systems in the past two years, more than double the official death toll of 6 million. Most of the fatalities were in Southeast Asia, Europe and the Americas.

In a report released on Thursday, the U.N. agency's chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus described the figure as "sobering," saying it should prompt countries to invest more in their capacities to quell future health emergencies.

Scientists tasked by WHO with calculating the actual number of COVID-19 deaths between January 2020 and the end of last year estimated there were between 13.3 million and 16.6 million deaths that were either caused directly by the coronavirus or were somehow attributed to the pandemic's impact on health systems, like people with cancer unable to seek treatment when hospitals were full of COVID patients.

The figures are based on country-reported data and statistical modeling. WHO did not immediately break down the figures to distinguish between direct deaths from COVID-19 and others caused by the pandemic.

Over 650,000 White Flags Planted On National Mall To Honor American Covid DeathsCOVID-19 was third leading cause of death in the United States in 2021, CDC reports

"This may seem like just a bean-counting exercise, but having these WHO numbers is so critical to understanding how we should combat future pandemics and continue to respond to this one," said Albert Ko, an infectious diseases specialist at the Yale School of Public Health who was not linked to the WHO research. For example, Ko said, South Korea's decision to invest heavily in public health after it suffered a severe outbreak of MERS allowed it to escape COVID-19 with a per-capita death rate around a 20th of that of the U.S.

Accurate numbers on COVID-19 deaths have been problematic throughout the pandemic, as the figures are only a fraction of the devastation wrought by the virus, largely because of limited testing and differences in how countries count COVID-19 deaths. According to government figures reported to WHO and to a separate count kept by Johns Hopkins University, there have been more than 6 million reported coronavirus deaths to date.

Scientists at the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington guessed there were more than 18 million COVID deaths from January 2020 to December 2021 in a recent study published in the journal Lancet, and a team led by Canadian researchers estimated there were more than 3 million uncounted coronavirus deaths in India alone.

Some countries, including India, have disputed WHO's methodology for calculating COVID deaths, resisting the idea that there were many more deaths than officially counted. Earlier this week, the Indian government released new figures showing there were 474,806 more deaths in 2020 compared to the previous year, but did not say how many were tied to the pandemic. India did not release any death estimates for 2021, when the highly infectious delta variant swept through the country, killing many thousands.

Registered nurse Yeni Sandoval wears personal protective equipment (PPE) while she cares for a COVID-19 patient in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) at Providence Cedars-Sinai Tarzana Medical Center in Tarzana, California, on Jan. 3, 2021.COVID-19, overdoses contributed to the country's highest death total ever in 2021

Yale's Ko said better figures from WHO might also explain some lingering mysteries about the pandemic, like why Africa appears to have been one of the least affected by the virus, despite its low vaccination rates. "Were the mortality rates so low because we couldn't count the deaths or was there some other factor to explain that?" he said, adding that the crush of deaths in rich countries like Britain and the U.S. proved that resources alone were insufficient to contain a global outbreak.

Dr. Bharat Pankhania, a public health specialist at Britain's University of Exeter, said we may never get close to the true toll of COVID-19, particularly in poor countries.

"When you have a massive outbreak where people are dying in the streets because of a lack of oxygen, bodies were abandoned or people had to be cremated quickly because of cultural beliefs, we end up never knowing just how many people died," he explained.

Although Pankhania said the currently estimated COVID-19 death toll still pales in comparison to the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic — when experts estimate up to 100 million people died — he said the fact that so many people died despite the advances of modern medicine, including vaccines, is shameful.

TIMMERTheir virus symptoms were minor. Then they had long COVID.
He also warned the cost of COVID-19 could be far more damaging in the long term, given the increasing burden of long COVID.

"With the Spanish flu, there was the flu and then there were some (lung) illnesses people suffered, but that was it," he said. "There was not an enduring immunological condition that we're seeing right now with COVID," he said.

"We do not know the extent to which people with long COVID will have their lives cut short and if they will have repeated infections that will cause them even more problems."


Krutika Pathi in New Delhi contributed to this report.

HippieChick58 9 May 5
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9 comments

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2

Here we are some 30 years into the whole HIV/Aids monumental fail and we're still not quite sure how to record a semblance of a death toll. That speaks pretty loudly about our species. 😣

Oh! It's just like the flu. #smh

1

With over population plaguing our planet, 15 million may seem enormous but it is not enough to provide relief for human encroachment on a viable Earth. Death really is only painful to loved ones left behind. We have made great progress in reducing world famine, & death from preventable disease such as smallpox. But now there are self induced scourges that modern life & corporate food has wrought such as diabetes 2 and high blood pressure etc. My doctor told me the epidemic is over. I think she is in error & I continue to isolate even tho there are few who I insist NOT mourn my passing. But then I enjoy isolation.....except for the news. Stay well all you progressives that believe the science which changes with the data. We need your votes.

1

What a pity... they could have been such good Americans...

2

SarsCoV2 was not even the worst possible virus. There are hundreds of other pathogens out there that are worse, just waiting for an opportunity. If people think they can skip the vaccine for the next bug, we could easily see a much greater loss of life.

2

Shameful, yes. One big problem this time around is morons that refuse to be vaccinated regardless of the situation. Of course, it was their body and their choice. Perhaps if we had vaccines during the Spanish Flu their death toll could also have been much less.

Covid is no Spanish Flu which was much scarier with healthy 20-30 year olds dropping off. 5% mortality rate in that pandemic which for perspective:

1% of current US population is @ 3.4 million so 5% would be 17 million, and that would be over a single year.
Currently US has had around 1 million deaths over 2 years, that figure is nowhere close to 1% US population even over a single year.

For a world wide pandemic, 15 million out of 7 odd billion over 2 years.........you may do the math.

PS If we had vaccines during the Spanish Flu then the death toll, not "could also have" but a firm "will have", been much less. Because that is what "vaccines" do; provide immunity. To say "could also have" suggests this is not happening eg transmission and infections still happening with the so called vaccinated.
If covid vaccines did provide immunity and mortality from covid was up there like 5%, there would be no morons as the vax would sell itself.

@puff Being vaccinated does not prevent infection. The "don't jab me" crowd uses this to justify not being vaccinated. It is a poor argument

@DenoPenno Yes but vaccines do provide immunity to infection but most importantly, will stop transmission.
If the smallpox and polio vaccines were as effective (they are far more superior) as the covid vaccines are eg need a 2 shot initial dose followed by boosters within months, then smallpox and polio would still be a major public health issue. But these vaccines are very effective .
When governments set a percentage of population has to be vaccinated, then the fact it is not stopping infection and transmission occurs, then that percentage becomes a nonsense as attaining a herd immunity becomes impossible through a vaccination program. This is a rock solid argument in resisting the you must get vaxxed "for the public good" argument.
Take it to protect yourself, but don't kid yourself it is a societal must as transmission is not being stopped.

3

My mother was among them.

2

The world is quite over-populated. Sorry for families that lost a loved one, but this many or more would die of SOMETHING in short order, anyway.

Whether it was covid or malnutrition, much of the world's population is in sad shape.

I do not agree with that sentiment.

2

I would like to see more information like both the average age of death plus any pre-existing conditions of covid victims eg Is Africa figures so low because they have young populations whereas Western countries have aging populations?

puff Level 7 May 5, 2022
5

It is probably underestimated.

Yes, that IS more than a mere possibility imo.

I am certain that it's underestimated. In some places including Florida there is some leeway with how the coroners determine cause of death.

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